Obama v Romney - battleground graphics
I don't find the graphics that the TV shows use very useful in understanding the state of play during a US Presidential election, so I thought I'd create some more useful diagrams. Please comment on my blog post and tell me what you think.
All projections come from Five Thirty Eight.
This is the most complex of the diagrams, but also potentially the most informative. Please take a moment to read the explanation below - it really should make more sense if you do :-)
- To make sense of any of this you must understand the Electoral
Red states are states that went for McCain in
Blue states are states that went for Obama in
States in the band with a pale blue background at the top
of the diagram have been called by the networks for Obama.
States in the band with a pale red background at the bottom
of the diagram have been called by the networks for Romney.
States to the left of the line are projected
to go for Obama.
States to the right of the line are projected
to go for Romney.
The further left or right they extend, the further the projected
margin of victory.
- The vertical direction is measured in electoral votes
The thicker the bar for a state is, the more electoral votes it has.
The numbers inbetween states near the finish line mark how far that
boundary is from the finish line.
The projected winner is the person who takes the state on the finish
line. This is because, by taking that state and all the other states that they have more favourable margins in, they can win the election.
Nebraska and Maine only give out some of their votes according to
the statewide margin, and some according to the vote in each
congressional district. Thus the diagram shows separate "states"
for their congressional districts as well as for their statewide votes.
Hover over a state for more information about it.
Each state is represented by a number of circles equal to its electoral votes.
Deep blue/red states with white text have been called for Obama/Romney;
light blue/red states with black text are projected to go for Obama/Romney.